|
|
Future Trends
9:14 PM EDT 6/19/08
Libraries do not exist in a vacuum. Here's a place to talk about how social and technological trends/events will effect tomorrow's libraries.
(Fixed a glaring typo several days later.)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
12:07 PM EDT 6/9/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
For instance, consider this piece: http://news.cnet.com/8301-13505_3-9962935-16.html
The title is: <i>Nick Carr: Is Google making us stupid?</i>
The article references an article in <i>The Atlantic</i> (not yet online) about how the mind accomodates to its surroundings. Perhaps Google, et al., by providing so much quick information interfers with the ability to think.
The article's author is reading books again.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
11:08 PM EDT 6/17/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
Bob, this is a great idea (the future trends discussion) and an excellent first thread. I've made it the [url http://www.webjunction.org/forums/thread.jspa?threadID=7513]Question of the Week[/url] to see if we can get some more traffic here. I'll also blog it this week on BlogJunction.
What do _you_ think folks? Is Google making us stupid (I kind of think so)? Is reading likely to become the "medicine"? I'm thinking it's good medicine, and am heartened by at least the one tech-bloggers prescription, but wonder if it will become a trend. It seems like we are in the middle of a serious, momentum-gaining move toward even more micro attention spans.
Please post your thoughts here. In the meantime, I'm going to go home and do some reading! ;-)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
4:56 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Tim King.
I'm of the view that this is a wonderful opportunity for "Reference/Adult Services" librarians ... assuming they do read and think.
We often function as gatekeepers (and seldom, today, as wardens over imprisoned information). We have always helped the shallow, the misinformed, and the confused. This is a very important role and, likely, one that we'll need to develop on a more formalized basis as the emphasis has to be upon "librarian's personal knowledge" rather than "collection size/depth" (as though that matters on the web).
By the way, here's the url for the article: http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200807/google
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
6:32 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
I just got back from attending the Special Libraries Association annual conference and the idea of librarians as gatekeepers came up during the closing session speech by [url http://sethgodin.typepad.com/]Seth Godin[/url]. I had to go back to [url http://twitter.com/emnica] my twitter feed[/url] from the event, but this is what I typed into my tweet:
"if everyone in your company waited breathlessly for a 4 line email from you, than you win. gatekeepers are over. "
It had something to do with permission marketing vs. interruption marketing and it all seems kind of fuzzy now. I think what he was saying is that with searching becoming easier for the average joe schmoe, the librarian as the gatekeeper is fading. Librarian as value-added knowledge provider might be a new role that emerges.
Thoughts?
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
6:39 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Emily Inlow-Hood.
Gatekeeper has more than one meaning, I think. Sometimes, it's to keep people out; other times, it's to let people in.
I'm for letting people in. I confess that I probably confused people with that term. Heck, I sometimes confuse myself!
Following The Atlantic article, though, *if* people are becoming more and more used to the "easy search" then someone with subject expertise is needed when the search isn't quite so easy.
The problem isn't data access, it's conceptualization.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
7:19 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Emily Inlow-Hood.
At that same Seth Godin presentation, I heard him say that librarians need to work really hard to communicate what they do in the digital era. We have the capacity to spread ideas and tell great stories, which is the essence of marketing, but we need to be in the conversation and avoid being relegated to obscurity.
As for the "is Google making us stoopid" question: I don't think so. There is certainly a big cultural shift going on in which something is inevitably lost, but something is also gained. There has been a flood of comment on the topic on [url http://lists.webjunction.org/web4lib/search/index.cgi?query=Is+Google+Making+Us+Stupid&submit=Search%21&metaname=swishdefault&DateRanges_date_option=All&DateRanges_start_mon=6&DateRanges_start_day=19&DateRanges_start_year=2008&DateRanges_end_mon=6&DateRanges_end_day=19&DateRanges_end_year=2008&sort=swishrank ]Web4Lib[/url] and [url http://lists.webjunction.org/publib/search.cgi?query=Is+Google+making+us+stupid&submit=Search%21&metaname=swishdefault&sort=swishrank ]PubLib[/url]. Some have noted Plato's lament at the invention of writing ---that "If men learn this, it will implant forgetfulness in their souls ..."
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
7:42 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Betha Gutsche.
More on the topic: Asking 'is Google making us stupid?" is like asking "is the Internet making us stupid?" Google has opened up access to the Internet, which in turn has opened up doors to information that was behind all kinds of barriers before. I often hear people ask, "what did we ever do before the Internet?" I think we had an awful lot of unanswered questions to which we just shrugged and said I don't know. Well now we can know so much just by typing a few words into a simple search box. I think it's fabulous!
And Google has not caused people to turn away from libraries. Foot traffic and circulation are up in libraries all over the country. So just maybe, Google is stimulating more inquiry and more connection with each other.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
7:41 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Betha Gutsche.
I wouldn't say "stupid" but I might allow for "ignorant" IF quick and constant searching leads to people (well, certain people anyway) unable to follow into the depths of information ... whether it be in book, graph, or other form.
That said, there are losses wherever there are gains. I think the library profession may be well positioned to take advantage of this.
(Heck, *I* was the one who mentioned Plato on Publib. :-) )
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
7:43 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
Oh, I should have noticed that it was you who mentioned Plato, but I guess I was skimming too fast to take in the detail. Oh dear. ;-)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
7:44 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Betha Gutsche.
I didn't quote from <i>Phaedrus</i>, though ... that was someone with a better memory!
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
8:20 PM EDT 6/19/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
One pithy thing I remember from a reference class not too long ago (If I need to assign credit, it was probably Joe Janes) was something like: "Google means that librarians don't settle as many bar bets."
However, just like the classic reference interview quandary, I think it's still the case that for many information problems people can't even formulate their ideas into a question.
Immediate, unfiltered access to all the world's information isn't going to help these folks. A librarian, on the other hand....
That role of "information consultant" or "information filter" is one we need to continue to stake out/expand.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
4:43 PM EDT 6/23/08
as a reply to Tim King.
I think that's true.
My take on it is that the broad field of librarianship has two foci ... but we're primarily trained in only one (for various historical reasons).
We're trained (and note that I'm not using the word "educated") in the tools and techniques needed to "create" or "maintain" a library. That's why Dewey used the phrase "library economy" and the generation after him preferred "library science" (with science = technology in late 19th century and early 20th century usage).
This is the realm of cataloging and subject selection ... what we generally call "technical services." We can, today, add most of what would otherwise be considered database management or even IT services.
The other focus is on *using* the library (or a database). Aside from a few profesional skill issues such as high level database structure and selection ... or the proper book to use ... the issue is *not* what one has learned in library school, but rather what one has learned outside of library school that can be put to use in asking questions (of the library user) or in probing the content of the various databases one has at hand (in which I include books).
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
9:08 PM EDT 6/26/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
Here's something (sort of ) new: Cha-Cha.
http://www.redorbit.com/news/technology/1447021/chacha_promises_to_answer_any_reference_question_any_time/
From the text:
<i>A new 24/7 service from ChaCha allows cell phone users on the go to ask a wide range of reference questions in conversational English and get answers free of charge. Each question is routed to a human guide who searches the Web for the information and within minutes returns the answer in a text message with a web reference link. The online and mobile search company announced the new voice service in April at CTIA: The Wireless Association's 2008 convention in Las Vegas. At 800-2-ChaCha (800-224-2242), the service works on any mobile phone that supports normal SMS text and voice capability. </i>
Personally, I think this will be a bust because not enough people will remember that it's available. But there are other competitors out there looking to take potential users away from public libraries.
I don't think any of them will be willing to take the time, make the connections, or form the relationships that are the hallmarks of conversation ... and that is what professional services are all about.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Re: Future Trends
6:07 PM EDT 7/17/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
Here's something interesting from the tech world:
http://www.vnunet.com/vnunet/news/2221522/flash-chip-long-life-created
The title is: "Japanese boffins develop long-life Flash"
Some text:
<i>Flash memory chips with a potential lifetime of hundreds of years have been developed by Japanese scientists.
The new chips also work at lower voltages than conventional chips, according to the scientists from the National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology and the University of Tokyo.
Flash memory chips are widely used in products such as Apple's iPhone, mini notebooks like the Asus Eee PC, video games consoles such as the Nintendo Wii, flash memory cards, digital cameras and Flash-based SSD hard disk drives.
Current Flash chips are estimated to have a useful lifetime of around a decade for most applications.
However, some applications that require repeated writing and rewriting of data can theoretically cause cells to wear out much faster, sometimes rendering a Flash device useless within a few years.
This can happen when a large area of Flash memory is used as a swap file or virtual memory, or to store constantly updated log files.
The continuing miniaturisation of conventional Flash memory chips also threatens to reduce their lifetime.
This and other factors make conventional high-density Flash cells unworkable at circuit sizes below 20 nanometres, the scientists claim.
The new ferroelectric Nand Flash memory cell developed by the Japanese scientists can be scaled down to at least 10 nanometres. The next generation of conventional flash cells will use a 30 nanometre circuit density.
The ferroelectric Flash memory cell can be rewritten more than 100 million times, compared to a conventional cells lifetime of around 10,000, its inventors claim.</i>
* * *
This is getting close to archival in nature. Moreover, if the read speed is sufficiently high it would be a *very* likely replacement for DVDs and far better than the audio chips now available.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cha Cha
10:53 AM EDT 9/9/08
as a reply to Bob Watson.
I'd reported on Cha Cha (online/text service which answers questions, for free) above and questioned its business model. I couldn't figure out its financing.
Anyway, I've most recently read that the people providing answers haven't been paid for quite a while.
|
|
|
|